Research on Adequate Pension Provision
The objective of pension provision is to secure an adequate livelihood during retirement. The task of our pension research is to offer versatile and up-to-date information on pensioners’ livelihood and its development.
We assess the livelihood of pensioners and its development based on pensions, available income, subjective experiences, consumption and savings. We compare the livelihood of pensioners to the livelihood of the entire population and the working population and to the pre-retirement income.
In our reviews, we take into account that pension recipients deviate from the rest of the population in terms of, for example, the structure of the overall income, the household size and the consumption habits. Pension recipients are also an internally heterogeneous group: there are high-income, middle-income and small-income pensioners.
To predict the international reform trends of pension provision, we monitor and assess the pension provision and the pension policy development in other countries.
Current research projects
Activating pension reforms and benefit adjustments - European comparison
Aim: In this project, we will focus on recent reforms of European pension systems from the perspective of the active social policy approach. We will describe how reforms aiming at postponing retirement and extending working life have spread and how they are related to actual outcomes, such as the increasing effective retirement age and the employment rates of the elderly.
Realisation: Macro-comparative analysis based on data from the OECD, Eurostat and CWED2.
Researchers: Kati Kuitto (Finnish Centre for Pensions) and Jan Helmdag (University of Greifswald)
- Helmdag, Jan & Kuitto, Kati (2018). Interdependent policy learning: Contextual diffusion of active labour market policies. In: Dunlop, Claire & Radaelli, Claudio & Trein, Philipp (eds.) Learning in Public Policy. Analysis, Modes and Outcomes. Houndsmills/Basingstoke: Palgrave, pp. 317–346.
- Kuitto, Kati (2016). What’s the role of policies in extending working lives? Blog, 2 November 2016
- Kuitto, Kati & Helmdag (Jan 2016). Extending the tail end of working lives: How policies shape labour market participation and retirement of older workers. Manuscript version September 2016.
Contribution simulation of future pensions
Aim: In this project, we will use microsimulation to calculate an individual’s future pension. The ELSI model is a multi-dimensional simulation of the population. One of the most important dimensions is the supporting of pension recipients well into the future in a world full of risks. Another important dimension is the simulation of retired people in various labour market statuses. The third important dimension is the creation of labour market transfers and entries for others than those who are about to retire. In addition to the status transfers, we will use the simulation model to calculate earnings-related pensions, pensions paid by the Social Insurance Institution of Finland and income taxation. To support the modelling, we will conduct special studies on certain issues, including family formation, testing the results of the microsimulation and earnings development.
Realisation: Our work will consist of modelling based on the research register of the Finnish Centre for Pensions and data of Statistics Finland.
Researchers: Heikki Tikanmäki and Janne Salonen
- Tikanmäki H., Sihvonen H. and Salonen J. (2015), Distributional Effects of the Forthcoming Finnish Pension Reform – a Dynamic Microsimulation Approach. International Journal of Microsimulation (2015) 7 (2), International Microsimulation Association.
- Tikanmäki H., Sihvonen H. and Salonen J. (2015), Työurien ja eläkeajan kehitys sekä eläkkeiden ja niiden jakautumisen muutos (development of working life and retirement and changes in pensions and their allocation). In: Kautto, Mikko and Risku (eds.) Projections on the effects of the 2017 earnings-related pension reform. Finnish Centre for Pensions, Reports 02/2015.
- Sihvonen, Hannu (2015) Eläketurvakeskuksen ELSI-mikrosimulointimallin laajennus Kelan eläkkeisiin ja verotukseen. (Expanding the Finnish Centre for Pensions’ ELSI microsimulation model to Kela pensions and taxation), Finnish Centre for Pensions, Discussion papers 03/2015.
- Tikanmäki H., Sihvonen H. and Salonen J. (2014), Microsimulating Finnish earnings-related pensions. Finnish Centre for Pensions, Working Papers 02/2014.
- Tikanmäki H., Sihvonen H. and Salonen J. (2014), Microsimulating Finnish earnings-related pensions. Finnish Centre for Pensions, Discussion papers 02/2014.
Entanglement of collective and individual tendencies in pension security cases of Canada and Finland
Aim: In this project, we review the collective and individual elements of the Canadian and Finnish pension systems and the recent changes to them relative to the general international development towards more individual pensions.
Realisation: Our study is based on literature, media coverage and statistics of the Canadian and Finnish pensions systems and their reforms.
Researchers: Jyri Liukko (Finnish Centre for Pensions), Aaron Doyle (Carleton University), Turo-Kimmo Lehtonen (University of Tampere)
Knowledge and trust
Aim: In this project, we examine the connection between the Finnish population’s knowledge of and trust in the pension system. We look at the data both from the point of view of a subjective self-evaluation and a more objective knowledge of the basics of the pension system. The material allows for a more detailed analysis of the subjective and objective knowledge.
Realisation: We use the data of the Pension Barometer Survey.
Researchers: Sanna Tenhunen, Susan Kuivalainen
Livelihood and well-being of retirees
Aim: The aim of this project is to conduct an extensive questionnaire survey directed at retirees in order to produce up-to-date and versatile data on the livelihood and well-being of pension recipients. Our study will review the livelihood of retirees and related issues, including housing, employment, health, the use of social and health services and care by next-of-kin.
Realisation: Survey conducted by the Finnish Centre for Pensions to retirees, combined with register data
Researchers: Kati Ahonen, Liisa-Maria Palomäki, Susan Kuivalainen, Anu Polvinen, Jyri Liukko, Satu Nivalainen, Noora Järnefelt
- Ahonen, Kati & Palomäki, Liisa-Maria & Polvinen, Anu (2018) Pensioners’ perceived economic welfare in 2017. Finnish Centre for Pensions, Studies 03/2018.
Low income of retired men and women
Aim: Prolonged poverty is more common among retirees than the rest of the population. In addition, it is a clearly larger problem among elderly women than men. On the other hand, the poverty of retired men has increased much more than retired women in the 2000s. In this study, we examine the reason for this development.
Realisation: The target group of our study is a 10-per-cent follow-up sample of all retirees from 1995 to 2012. There is abundant information on all sample individuals for this period.
Researchers: Juha Rantala, Susan Kuivalainen (Finnish Centre for Pensions), Marjo Pyy-Martikainen (Kela), Marja Riihelä (VATT Institute for Economic Research)
Aim: To describe grounds and discussions relating to how the part-time pension came into force, changes in legislation and how the pension was abolished. The report depicts the recipients of part-time pensions and the working lives of part-time pensioners in light of research, statistics and register data. In addition, we review part-time retirement models in other countries.
In cooperation with the University of Helsinki, we will write a separate report on the impact of part-time retirement on the length of working lives.
Realisation: The data is based on previous research and statistics on part-time retirement, as well as up-to-date research registers.
Researchers: Mervi Takala, Janne Salonen, Niko Väänänen and Jyrki Möttönen (University of Helsinki)
Publications: Takala, Mervi & Väänänen, Niko (2016) Does part-time pension extend working lives? – A Finnish case study. Finnish Centre for Pensions, Reports 03/2016.
Aim: To examine, first, how well Finnish people know about pensions and second, their opinions about how pension provision is implemented. The study also focuses on changes in the level of knowledge over time and between demographic groups.
Realisation: Annual telephone interviews from 2017 to 2021 with 1,000 persons between the ages of 17 and 79 years who live on mainland Finland.
Researchers: Mikko Kautto and Susan Kuivalainen
Publications: Pension barometer 2017 , 2018 (in Finnish only)
Pension rights and benefits in international comparison
Aim: In this study, we will analyse trends in the generosity of earning-related public and mandatory private pensions in European and OECD countries from 1995 to 2010. We will explain changes in levels and eligibility criteria for pension benefits by political, institutional and international approaches by means of time-series-cross-section regression modelling.
Realization: Macro-comparative statistical analysis based on CWED2, OECD and Parties, Institutions and Preferences (PIP) data sets.
Researchers: Kati Kuitto (Finnish Centre for Pensions), Lyle Scruggs (University of Connecticut), Detlef Jahn and Jan Helmdag (University of Greifswald)
Self-employment, income and pension insurance of the self-employed
Aim: In this project, we examine the nature of self-employment, the income of the self-employed and pension insurance for the self-employed from various different points of view. Among other things, we examine what the self-employed think of pensions and how much they know about pension insurance. We also examine how the self-employed have combined paid work and self-employment. Finally, we also examine how the self-employed view retirement and what kind of work intentions (for example, working while drawing a pension) they have towards the end of their working life.
Realisation: The data consists of an Ad Hoc module on self-employment collected in connection with the 2017 Labour Force Survey. Descriptive and econometric analysis.
Schedule: Autumn 2018 – 2019
Researchers: Satu Nivalainen, Sanna Tenhunen, Juha Rantala, Janne Salonen
Short-sighted self-employed persons pay too little pension contribution: Trajectory analysis of incomes
Aim: In this study, we examine the reasons for the low confirmed income and pensions of the self-employed and professionals. The review is based on the Finnish Centre for Pensions’ data on the supervision of insurance under the Self-employed Persons’ Pensions Act from 2012 to 2015. Using trajectory analysis, we present an overview of self-employed persons who behave in different ways in relation to this issue.
Realization: Study based on register data of the Finnish Centre for Pensions and the Tax Administration.
Researcher: Janne Salonen (Finnish Centre for Pensions), Lasse Koskinen and Tapio Nurmi (University of Tampere)