Pension Expenditure Forecast for 2019

The earnings-related pension expenditure will grow by 3.8 per cent to 29.0 billion euros.

The table below presents a summary of the projected pension expenditure in 2019.

 20192018Change
Private-sector
earnings-related pensions
18 19517 5463,7 %
– Basic provision17 99517 3433,8 %
– Supplementary provision200203-1,5 %
Public-sector
earnings-related pensions
10 54210 1603,8 %
Unsalaried periods20817916,2 %
Total earnings-related
pension expenditure
28 945 27 885 3,8 % 

Earnings-related pension expenditure forecast

The annually published earnings-related pension expenditure forecast includes projections of the ongoing year per sector (private and public sectors and unsalaried periods). As for the private sector, the forecast includes projections also per pension type (old-age, disability, part-time and survivors’ pensions) and pension act (Employees Pensions Acts, Seafarer’s Pensions Act, Self-employed Persons’ Pensions Act, Farmers’ Pensions Act).

The unsalaried period refers to a period during which pension accrues based on a social benefit that one gets rather than on earnings.

In the forecast, the earnings-related pension expenditure has been divided into a basic and a supplementary provision. The basic provision has been specified by pension type and pension act. The supplementary pension has been specified only by pension act.

When compiling the forecast, the available data is of the first half of the year. The underlying assumption is that the percentual change in the number of year-end recipients of earnings-related pensions compared to the situation at the year-end in the previous year is the same as the percentual change at mid-year of the ongoing year compared to the mid-year of the previous year.