Research on Adequate Pension Provision

The objective of pension provision is to secure an adequate livelihood during retirement. The task of our pension research is to offer versatile and up-to-date information on pensioners’ livelihood and its development.

We assess the livelihood of pensioners and its development based on pensions, available income, subjective experiences, consumption and savings. We compare the livelihood of pensioners to the livelihood of the entire population and the working population and to the pre-retirement income.

In our reviews, we take into account that pension recipients deviate from the rest of the population in terms of, for example, the structure of the overall income, the household size and the consumption habits. Pension recipients are also an internally heterogeneous group: there are high-income, middle-income and small-income pensioners.

To predict the international reform trends of pension provision, we monitor and assess the pension provision and the pension policy development in other countries.

Current research projects


Activating pension reforms and benefit adjustments – European comparison

Aim: In this project, we will focus on recent reforms of European pension systems from the perspective of the active social policy approach. We will describe how reforms aiming at postponing retirement and extending working life have spread and how they are related to actual outcomes, such as the increasing effective retirement age and the employment rates of the elderly.

Realisation: Macro-comparative analysis based on data from the OECD, Eurostat and CWED2.

Schedule: 2016-2018

Researchers: Kati Kuitto (Finnish Centre for Pensions) and Jan Helmdag (University of Greifswald)

Publications:
Kuitto, Kati & Helmdag, Jan 2016. Extending the tail end of working lives: How policies shape labour market participation and retirement of older workers. Manuscript version September 2016.


Contribution simulation of future pensions

Aim: In this project, we will use microsimulation to calculate an individual’s future pension. The ELSI model is a multi-dimensional simulation of the population. One of the most important dimensions is the supporting of pension recipients well into the future in a world full of risks. Another important dimension is the simulation of retired people in various labour market statuses. The third important dimension is the creation of labour market transfers and entries for others than those who are about to retire. In addition to the status transfers, we will use the simulation model to calculate earnings-related pensions, pensions paid by the Social Insurance Institution of Finland and income taxation. To support the modelling, we will conduct special studies on certain issues, including family formation, testing the results of the microsimulation and earnings development.

Realisation: Our work will consist of modelling based on the research register of the Finnish Centre for Pensions and data of Statistics Finland.

Schedule
: 2012-2019

Researchers: Heikki Tikanmäki, Hannu Sihvonen and Janne Salonen

Publications:
Tikanmäki H., Sihvonen H. and Salonen J. (forthcoming), Distributional Effects of the Forthcoming Finnish Pension Reform – a Dynamic Microsimulation Approach. International Journal of Microsimulation (2015) 7 (2), International Microsimulation Association.

Tikanmäki H., Sihvonen H. and Salonen J. (2015), Työurien ja eläkeajan kehitys sekä eläkkeiden ja niiden jakautumisen muutos (development of working life and retirement and changes in pensions and their allocation). In: Kautto, Mikko and Risku (eds.) Projections on the effects of the 2017 earnings-related pension reform. Finnish Centre for Pensions, Reports 02/2015.

Tikanmäki H., Sihvonen H. and Salonen J. (2014), Microsimulating Finnish earnings-related pensions. Finnish Centre for Pensions, Working Papers 02/2014.

Tikanmäki H., Sihvonen H. and Salonen J. (2014), Microsimulating Finnish earnings-related pensions. Finnish Centre for Pensions, Discussion papers 02/2014


Livelihood and well-being of retirees

Aim: The aim of this project is to conduct an extensive questionnaire survey directed at retirees in order to produce up-to-date and versatile data on the livelihood and well-being of pension recipients. Our study will review the livelihood of retirees and related issues, including housing, employment, health, the use of social and health services and care by next-of-kin.

Realisation: Survey conducted by the Finnish Centre for Pensions to retirees, combined with register data

Schedule: 2017-2019

Researchers: Kati Ahonen, Liisa-Maria Palomäki, Susan Kuivalainen, Anu Polvinen, Jyri Liukko, Satu Nivalainen ja Noora Järnefelt


Low income of retired men and women

Aim: Prolonged poverty is more common among retirees than the rest of the population. In addition, it is a clearly larger problem among elderly women than men. On the other hand, the poverty of retired men has increased much more than retired women in the 2000s. In this study, we examine the reason for this development.

Realisation: The target group of our study is a 10-per-cent follow-up sample of all retirees from 1995 to 2012. There is abundant information on all sample individuals for this period.
Schedule
: 2017–2018

Researchers: Juha Rantala, Susan Kuivalainen (Finnish Centre for Pensions) and Marja Riihelä (VATT Institute for Economic Research)


Part-time pension

Aim: To describe grounds and discussions relating to how the part-time pension came into force, changes in legislation and how the pension was abolished. The report depicts the recipients of part-time pensions and the working lives of part-time pensioners in light of research, statistics and register data. In addition, we review part-time retirement models in other countries.

In cooperation with the University of Helsinki, we will write a separate report on the impact of part-time retirement on the length of working lives.

Realisation: The data is based on previous research and statistics on part-time retirement, as well as up-to-date research registers.

Schedule: 2016-2017

Researchers: Mervi Takala, Janne Salonen, Niko Väänänen and Jyrki Möttönen (University of Helsinki)

Publications: Takala Mervi & Väänänen Niko (2016) Does part-time pension extend working lives? – A Finnish case study. Finnish Centre for Pensions, Reports 03/2016.


Pension barometer

Aim: To examine, first, how well Finnish people know about pensions and second, their opinions about how pension provision is implemented. The study also focuses on changes in the level of knowledge over time and between demographic groups.

Realisation: Annual telephone interviews from 2017 to 2021 with 1,000 persons between the ages of 17 and 79 years who live on mainland Finland.

Schedule: 2017-2021

Researchers: Mikko Kautto and Susan Kuivalainen

Publications: Pension barometer 2017 (published on 19 June 2017)


Part-time pension

Aim: The aim of this project is to describe the grounds for and discussion relating to the maturity, law reforms and abolishment of the part-time pension. The report will depict the recipients of the part-time pension and their working lives in light of conducted research, statistics and register data. In addition, we will review the models of a gradual transfer to retirement in other countries.
A separate report will be made in cooperation with the University of Helsinki on the effects of part-time pensions on the length of working lives.

Realization: The data will consist of previous research and statistics on part-time pensions, as well as up-to-date research register data.

Schedule: 2016–2017

Researchers: Mervi Takala, Janne Salonen, Niko Väänänen, Mika Vidlund and Jyrki Möttönen (University of Helsinki)

Publications: Takala M. and Väänänen N. (2016), Does part-time pension extend working lives? – A Finnish case study. Finnish Centre for Pensions, Reports 03/2016.


Pension rights and benefits in international comparison

Aim: In this study, we will analyse trends in the generosity of earning-related public and mandatory private pensions in European and OECD countries from 1995 to 2010. We will explain changes in levels and eligibility criteria for pension benefits by political, institutional and international approaches by means of time-series-cross-section regression modelling.

Realization: Macro-comparative statistical analysis based on CWED2, OECD and Parties, Institutions and Preferences (PIP) data sets.

Schedule: 2016–2018

Researchers: Kati Kuitto (Finnish Centre for Pensions), Lyle Scruggs (University of Connecticut), Detlef Jahn and Jan Helmdag (University of Greifswald)


Retirees’ use of health and social services and medical expenses in Finland

Aim: In this study, we examine retirees’ use of health and social services and medical expenses in Fin-land in 2015. We analyse how large a portion of retirees use such services, exactly which services they use and how the public assets used for the services are allocated by income brackets. At the same time, we examine how the patient fees and medical expenses caused by the use of the services are allocated in different groups of retirees and how they burden the income of low-income retirees in particular.

Toteutus: Data collected within the National Institute for Health and Welfare’s project on customer fees, Kela’s reg-ister data on medicine expenses and special reimbursements, as well as Statistics Finland’s data on the socioeconomic background of individuals.

Schedule: 2017

Researcher: Maria Vaalavuo (National Institute on Health and Welfare)

Publications:


Short-sighted self-employed persons pay too little pension contribution: Trajectory analysis of incomes

Aim: In this study, we examine the reasons for the low confirmed income and pensions of the self-employed and professionals. The review is based on the Finnish Centre for Pensions’ data on the supervision of insurance under the Self-employed Persons’ Pensions Act from 2012 to 2015. Using trajectory analysis, we present an overview of self-employed persons who behave in different ways in relation to this issue.

Toteutus: Study based on register data of the Finnish Centre for Pensions and the Tax Administration. The groups are identified through trajectory analysis. The reasons for underinsurance are explained with a statistical model.

Schedule: 2017-2018

Researcher: Janne Salonen (Finnish Centre for Pensions), Lasse Koskinen and Tapio Nurmi (Universi-ty of Tampere)

Publications:


Subjective experiences of adequate livelihood

Aim: In this study, we aim to outline the subjective economic wellbeing of pensioners both in Finland and Europe in the 2000s. In addition to the experiences of those who have already retired, we are also interested in the experiences of those who are approaching retirement. We will review the economic wellbeing of pensioners in relation to, among other things, other population groups, income and, in an international comparison, to factors depicting the various countries’ economic situation, such as the average income level and the unequal distribution of income.

Toteutus: EU-Silc aineisto

Schedule: 2015 – 2018

Researcher: Liisa-Maria Palomäki

Publications:
Palomäki, Liisa-Maria (2016) Reference groups and pensioners’ subjective economic well-being in Europe. Social Indicators Research (), 1-17, First online: 12 February 2016, DOI 10.1007/s11205-016-1262-0